Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.055892 0.065474 0.076163 0.088964 0.103876 0.120695 0.141107
2025-08-31 0.040354 0.052613 0.067763 0.087844 0.113750 0.146038 0.189346
2025-09-07 0.032445 0.045923 0.063940 0.089744 0.125724 0.174098 0.244093
2025-09-14 0.026368 0.039945 0.059309 0.088872 0.132815 0.195680 0.292464
2025-09-21 0.021650 0.034793 0.054624 0.086621 0.136885 0.212754 0.335974
2025-09-28 0.017974 0.030456 0.050264 0.083849 0.139277 0.227033 0.376511
2025-10-05 0.016022 0.028483 0.049179 0.085874 0.149191 0.253842 0.439894
2025-10-12 0.014190 0.026377 0.047491 0.086517 0.156688 0.277372 0.500584
2025-10-19 0.012612 0.024446 0.045779 0.086770 0.163369 0.300089 0.562461
2025-10-26 0.011437 0.023059 0.044805 0.088143 0.172106 0.327272 0.635498
2025-11-02 0.010600 0.022181 0.044626 0.090925 0.183732 0.360940 0.724561
2025-11-09 0.009229 0.020027 0.041686 0.087887 0.183622 0.372329 0.771954
2025-11-16 0.008297 0.018664 0.040175 0.087606 0.189155 0.395688 0.846848
2025-11-23 0.007399 0.017239 0.038344 0.086414 0.192661 0.415442 0.917023
2025-11-30 0.006867 0.016543 0.037962 0.088266 0.202860 0.450187 1.023175
2025-12-07 0.006191 0.015412 0.036461 0.087405 0.206939 0.472307 1.104488
2025-12-14 0.005506 0.014152 0.034493 0.085190 0.207619 0.486984 1.170826
2025-12-21 0.004874 0.012926 0.032434 0.082463 0.206714 0.497912 1.229775
2025-12-28 0.004589 0.012534 0.032322 0.084455 0.217392 0.536866 1.359940
2026-01-04 0.004256 0.011967 0.031702 0.085087 0.224783 0.568860 1.477095
2026-01-11 0.003937 0.011389 0.030973 0.085336 0.231226 0.599283 1.594066
2026-01-18 0.003698 0.010997 0.030676 0.086686 0.240707 0.638374 1.737994
2026-01-25 0.003538 0.010802 0.030881 0.089423 0.254239 0.689378 1.919346